How TrueEdge Finds Value in Player Props
Player props are bets on individual player performance -- passing yards, points scored, strikeouts, saves, and more. While sportsbooks set lines using algorithms and market data, inefficiencies exist across thousands of daily props. TrueEdge uses a 12-factor AI model to calculate the true probability of each prop and compares it to sportsbook odds to find bets with real mathematical edge.
What Makes Our Analysis Different
Edge %
The mathematical advantage over the sportsbook. Our model's true probability vs. the implied odds.
Value Score
A composite score combining edge, odds to hit, confidence, streak, and stat reliability.
AI Narratives
Unique AI-generated analysis explaining why each prop has edge, not just that it does.
Supported Sports
We analyze player props across four major sports leagues:
- NFL -- Passing, rushing, receiving, and defense/special teams props
- NBA -- Scoring, rebounding, playmaking, and combined props
- NHL -- Skater production and goalie performance props
- MLB -- Batting and pitching props with park-adjusted analysis
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